Democratic Senate candidates James Talarico (TX) and Abdul El-Sayed have surged to a more than 90 percent chance of winning their respective Senate seats, according to prediction market activity.
Talarico went into Tuesday evening heavily favored by traders over Attorney General Ken Paxton. In the early afternoon, Talarico’s odds of winning were around 71 percent. By 7 p.m. ET, those odds shot up to 80 percent on Kalshi and 83 percent on Polymarket.
Once the first batch of votes started coming in, Talarico’s rose above 90% on both prediction markets by 8 p.m.
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El-Sayed was also the favorite over Republican Mike Rogers (R). El-Sayed started Tuesday afternoon with odds of winning over 70 percent across both markets. With less than three percent of votes counted, his odds surged north of 90% around the same time as Talarico.
The post Talarico and El-Sayed Surge — Now a 90+% Lock to Win, Per Prediction Markets first appeared on mediaite.